Pokemon Pitch Black Set Pull Rates

by | Pokemon Cards

Pokemon card Pitch Black

Pokemon collectors studying Pitch Black Set Pull Rates are usually trying to learn how often the set’s chase cards appear before opening boxes, bundles, or Elite Trainer Boxes. Pokémon released Mega Evolution Pitch Black on July 17, 2026, and describes the expansion as containing “over 115 cards,” while the finished English checklist contains 120 cards. Pitch Black Set Pull Rates reveal a large gap between Double Rares, Illustration Rares, Special Illustration Rares, and the single Mega Hyper Rare. The sections below examine pack odds, booster box expectations, Mega Darkrai ex, rarity pools, and the difference between pulling any card from a tier and landing one chosen card.

  • Pitch Black released July 17, 2026.
  • The finished checklist contains 120 cards.
  • Mega Darkrai ex headlines the expansion.
  • Pull rates come from pack-opening studies rather than guaranteed odds.

Pitch Black Pull Rates

Pokemon Pitch Black Set Pull Rates become easier to understand when collectors look at each rarity on its own. A hands-on example occurs when a collector opens a 36-pack display, finds several ex cards and Illustration Rares, then reaches the final packs without seeing an SIR, which can feel unusual even though the odds allow that result. TCGplayer data compiled from more than 4,000 packs produced rates near 1 in 5 for Double Rare, 1 in 9 for Illustration Rare, 1 in 12 for Ultra Rare, 1 in 80 for Special Illustration Rare, and 1 in 1,081 for Mega Hyper Rare. Those numbers represent observed averages rather than fixed contents for every sealed product.

  • Double Rare odds are about 1 in 5 packs.
  • Illustration Rare odds are about 1 in 9.
  • Ultra Rare odds are about 1 in 12.
  • SIR odds are about 1 in 80.
  • MHR odds measured about 1 in 1,081.

Pull Rate Data

Large samples give Pitch Black Set Pull Rates more meaning because a handful of packs cannot reveal the underlying distribution. Evol Vault reports that roughly 5,400 English packs have been documented across public openings, with the TCGplayer count of more than 4,000 packs forming the biggest single dataset. Mega Hyper Rare estimates remain less certain because only a few copies appeared, so another analysis places the likely MHR rate around 1 in 1,260 to 1 in 1,370 packs. Collectors should treat those figures as probability ranges rather than promises.

  • Thousands of packs produce better estimates than one box.
  • MHR data has a wider uncertainty range.
  • Pack streaks can fall above or below the average.
  • Observed odds can change as more openings are counted.

Double Rare Odds

Double Rares appeared in 21.02% of the TCGplayer sample, placing this tier near one hit every five packs. Pitch Black contains 10 Double Rare cards, so a 36-pack display would average roughly seven hits when many boxes are viewed together. Pulling one named Double Rare takes longer because those hits are divided across a pool that includes several Pokémon ex. Pitch Black Set Pull Rates therefore describe a rarity before they describe one card.

  • Observed rate: 21.02%
  • Approximate odds: 1 in 5 packs
  • Pitch Black contains 10 Double Rares.
  • A 36-pack average works out near seven hits.

Illustration Rare Odds

Illustration Rares landed in 11.01% of sampled packs, which works out to roughly one in nine. The set contains 11 Illustration Rare Pokémon, giving collectors a compact pool compared with some larger expansions. Pitch Black Set Pull Rates suggest about four IR pulls across 36 packs when openings align with the long-run rate, yet duplicates can appear before every card is found. One chosen IR would have much longer odds than the rarity itself.

  • Observed rate: 11.01%
  • Approximate odds: 1 in 9 packs
  • The set includes 11 Illustration Rares.
  • A box averages around four IR hits across large samples.

Ultra Rare Odds

Ultra Rares appeared at an 8.30% rate in the TCGplayer dataset, placing the category close to one pull in every 12 packs. Pitch Black contains 18 Ultra Rare Pokémon and Trainer cards, so collectors chasing one particular card face much longer odds than the headline rate suggests. A 36-pack display works out to about three Ultra Rares on average, but one box may land higher or lower. Duplicate pulls can also slow master-set completion even when the number of hits looks good.

  • Observed rate: 8.30%
  • Approximate odds: 1 in 12 packs
  • The rarity contains 18 cards.
  • Thirty-six packs average around three Ultra Rares.
  • Card identity remains random inside the tier.

Mega Pitch Black expansion

Special Illustration Odds

Special Illustration Rares sit in a tougher part of Pitch Black Set Pull Rates, appearing at about 1.25% in the TCGplayer sample. That equals roughly one SIR per 80 packs, while broader public opening estimates place the range closer to one in 80 to one in 125. Pitch Black contains six SIR cards, which means pulling one SIR does not guarantee Mega Darkrai ex or another preferred card. A collector can open more than two booster displays without seeing an SIR and still encounter a result that fits normal probability.

  • TCGplayer estimate: 1 in 80 packs
  • Wider estimate: 1 in 80 to 125
  • The set contains six SIR cards.
  • One booster display does not guarantee an SIR.

Mega Hyper Rare Odds

Mega Hyper Rare is the hardest tier in Pitch Black Set Pull Rates because the set contains only one MHR, Mega Darkrai ex #120/83. Pokémon’s card database identifies that card as a Mega Hyper Rare, while TCGplayer’s dataset produced an observed rate near one in 1,081 packs. Broader public data places the working estimate around one in 1,260 to one in 1,370 because only a few copies appeared across thousands of openings. The rarity is scarce enough that opening several cases without finding Mega Darkrai can happen.

  • Mega Darkrai ex is card 120/83.
  • Pitch Black contains one MHR.
  • TCGplayer observed about 1 in 1,081 packs.
  • Broader estimates reach roughly 1 in 1,370.
  • MHR odds carry more uncertainty than lower tiers.

Mega Darkrai Pull Odds

Mega Darkrai ex makes Pitch Black Set Pull Rates unusual because the MHR tier and the specific-card odds are effectively the same when only one MHR exists. Pokémon lists Mega Darkrai ex #120/83 with 280 HP and the Abyss Eye attack, establishing it as the gold chase card in the expansion. Collectors should still separate the Mega Hyper Rare from other Mega Darkrai ex treatments because the same Pokémon can appear at different rarity levels. Card popularity can influence price, but it does not change the probability printed by the pack-opening data.

  • Mega Darkrai ex is the only MHR.
  • It carries the 120/83 card number.
  • Other Mega Darkrai cards belong to separate rarities.

Booster Box Odds

Pokémon confirms that a Pitch Black booster display contains 36 packs, with 10 cards and one Basic Energy inside each pack. Applying Pitch Black Set Pull Rates to that pack count gives averages near seven Double Rares, four Illustration Rares, and three Ultra Rares, while SIR and MHR hits remain far less dependable. Evol Vault estimates a 25% to 36% chance of at least one SIR per 36-pack box and roughly a 2.6% to 2.8% chance of an MHR using its broader rate ranges. Those percentages describe probability, not sealed-box guarantees.

  • Booster display: 36 packs
  • SIR box chance: about 25% to 36%
  • MHR box chance: about 2.6% to 2.8%
  • Box results can differ from the statistical average.

ETB Pull Odds

The standard Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box contains nine booster packs, while the Pokémon Center edition contains 11. Using Pitch Black Set Pull Rates, Evol Vault estimates a 58% to 65% chance of at least one Illustration Rare in a nine-pack ETB and only about a 7% to 11% chance of an SIR. The MHR chance across nine packs sits below 1%, which shows why a single ETB provides little evidence about overall pull rates. Collectors comparing openings should record pack totals instead of judging the expansion from one box.

  • Standard ETB: 9 packs
  • Pokémon Center ETB: 11 packs
  • Nine-pack SIR chance: about 7% to 11%
  • Nine-pack MHR chance: under 1%

Pitch Black Card Pool

The completed English checklist contains 120 cards, making Pitch Black the smallest Mega Evolution block set at the time of its release according to PokéBeach. The expansion includes six Mega Evolution Pokémon ex, four other Pokémon ex, 11 Illustration Rares, 18 Ultra Rares, six Special Illustration Rares, and one Mega Hyper Rare. A smaller checklist can make some set-building goals feel more manageable, yet Pitch Black Set Pull Rates show that premium rarity odds remain difficult. Fewer cards do not automatically make the MHR easier to find.

  • Total English checklist: 120 cards
  • Six Mega Evolution Pokémon ex
  • Eleven Illustration Rares
  • Six Special Illustration Rares
  • One Mega Hyper Rare

Opening Pack Strategy

Collectors can use Pitch Black Set Pull Rates to set expectations before deciding how much sealed product to open. Someone chasing one SIR or Mega Darkrai MHR may discover that buying the desired single removes far more uncertainty than continuing to open packs, while sealed products still provide the experience of discovering cards at random. The Federal Trade Commission’s marketplace guidance advises buyers to review seller history, examine item photographs, understand refund policies, and use payment methods with buyer protections when purchasing online. Tracking packs, hits, and duplicate counts also gives collectors a cleaner record of their own results.

  • Set an opening budget before chasing one card.
  • Record total packs and rarity hits.
  • Compare singles when one target matters most.
  • Check seller records when buying sealed products online.
  • Keep transaction documentation.

Pkoemon Pitch Black Trainer Set

Pitch Black Key Takeaways

Pitch Black Set Pull Rates show a clear divide between regular hits and the cards that define the chase. Double Rares, Illustration Rares, and Ultra Rares appear often enough to show up across many booster displays, while SIRs fall near one in 80 packs in the largest TCGplayer sample and Mega Darkrai’s MHR sits beyond one in 1,000. The 120-card checklist may help collectors work toward a set, yet premium pull odds still create a demanding hunt. Large opening samples provide the most useful baseline because one ETB, bundle, or booster box can land far from the average.

  • Double Rare: about 1 in 5 packs
  • Illustration Rare: about 1 in 9
  • Ultra Rare: about 1 in 12
  • SIR: about 1 in 80
  • MHR: about 1 in 1,081 in the TCGplayer sample

FAQs

What Are Pull Rates?

Pitch Black Set Pull Rates estimate how often each rarity appears across many opened packs. They describe probability rather than guaranteed product contents. Larger samples provide better evidence than one box.

How Rare Are SIRs?

Special Illustration Rares appeared about once every 80 packs in TCGplayer’s study. Broader tracking places the range between roughly 80 and 125 packs. Pitch Black contains six SIR cards.

How Rare Is Darkrai?

Mega Darkrai ex #120/83 is the set’s only Mega Hyper Rare. TCGplayer’s sample measured the tier near one in 1,081 packs, while wider estimates sit above one in 1,200. The small number of observed MHR pulls means the figure can shift as more packs are counted.

Does Every Box SIR?

No published evidence shows that every English Pitch Black booster display contains an SIR. Current estimates place the chance of at least one SIR in 36 packs around 25% to 36%. A box without one is therefore expected to occur often.

Are Pull Rates Guaranteed?

No. Pitch Black Set Pull Rates are estimates created from thousands of English pack openings rather than a rarity-odds table published by Pokémon. Collectors should use them as a planning reference instead of a promise.